On Thursday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell announced that the central bank would no longer treat inflation as a primary threat to economic growth, stability and employment and would allow for more inflation in the years ahead before acting to tame it.
Read moreWe Don't Just Need More Stimulus — We Need Smarter Stimulus
With the Republican-led Senate only just now unveiling its first draft of a next stimulus package and passage of a final bill dependent on weeks of arduous negotiations between Congress and the White House, the already-tenuous economic recovery just became more tenuous.
Read moreThe COVID-19 Recession Should Be So Much Worse. Why Hasn't It Been?
And yet, as bad as things are economically, it remains an open question why things aren’t worse. The answer is simple, and challenging: we may all be in this together as humans facing a virus but we are not equally in this together in bearing the economic toll.
Read moreHow to Avoid the Shutdown 'Kill Switch'
Ninety days into the Covid-19 pandemic and shutdown, American leaders now have to confront an unsettling truth: Bringing an entire economy to a halt so fast, and so widely, isn’t a decision they can just reverse.
Read moreA Safety Net Should Help People Feel Safe. The U.S. Managed to Do the Opposite
The primary reason for this massive surge in unemployment is of course the pandemic and the economic shutdowns to contain it. But government policy is also to blame.
Read moreStocks Are Recovering While the Economy Collapses. That Makes More Sense Than You'd Think.
What is going on? How can it be that stocks are soaring when the economy is crashing?
Read moreThe Fed's Unprecedented Bailout of Everyone and Everything Could Prevent Total Collapse
The Fed understood even before Congress that the health-crisis of the pandemic and the subsequent economic crisis caused by the shelter-in-place orders and shuttering of businesses, travel and events would easily morph into a financial crisis that could be magnitudes greater than what happened in 2008-2009.
Read moreThe Coronavirus Won’t Be an Economic Catastrophe — Unless We Let it Become One
It would be nice to be able to say when this will settle down, but as the old market cliché goes, no one rings a bell when markets hit a bottom.
Read moreA Stock Market Crash Was Coming, Coronavirus Was Just the Spark
It was the worst week for stocks since the financial crisis in October of 2008. It may get worse still.
Read moreThe United States will Miss China's Money
Having hundreds of billions of dollars of Chinese investment in the United States was a powerful source of influence that is dwindling rapidly and is in fact shrinking more quickly than bilateral trade. Tariffs can be imposed or lifted almost at the whim of a presidential tweet, but creating a welcoming climate for inward investment takes longer to build.
Read moreWhy We Should Like Facebook’s Cryptocurrency
The ambition is grand: “Reinvent money. Transform the global economy. So people everywhere can live better lives.” So said Facebook last month in unveiling Libra, its new digital payment service. The company heralded it as “a simple global currency and financial infrastructure that empowers billions of people.” If fully launched, Libra would allow Facebook users to buy and sell goods and services around the world and across borders using a digital cryptocurrency…
Read moreTrump’s Phony Trade War with China
The yearlong China-U.S. trade war now appears to be in its final stages. Tariffs will be lifted, Beijing will promise to buy more American goods and take a harder stance on technology transfers and industrial espionage, and Trump will declare victory — but it will be Pyrrhic, at best.
Read moreNew York and Amazon Played a Zero-Sum Game -- and Everyone Lost
The brief, contentious engagement of Amazon and New York City ended abruptly this week, with Amazon deciding that its choice of New York as a site for a new headquarters was not right after all, and that what the company had wanted wasn’t in the cards.
Read moreThe Green New Deal is Just the Vague, Audacious Goal We Need
The unveiling of a Green New Deal last week provoked a mix of enthusiasm and derision. For each voice embracing the radical vision to decarbonize the American economy within a decade, there was another voice decrying the plan as economically unrealistic, technologically impossible, and politically untenable.
Read moreWhy Taxing the Rich May Not Save Democracy
The government shutdown dominated the news these past weeks, but far more consequential were proposals floated by newly minted presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren and freshman representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to significantly raise taxes on the very rich.
Read moreStocks Higher on Trade Optimism
Zachary thinks that the markets’ focus on Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is unnecessary: “She’s a junior representative on a committee of a House that can’t pass any laws because the Senate’s controlled by Republicans.”
Read moreStop Freaking Out About Trump’s State of Emergency Threats
The president’s proposed reallocation of federal spending to build his wall is hardly an existential crisis for American democracy.
Read moreA Cold War Is Coming, and It Isn’t China’s Fault
Relations between the United States and China, which had been slowly deteriorating for several years, have taken a decisive turn for the worse. With all indications pointing to things getting substantially more strained before they get better, talk of a new Cold War has become common. And if that happens, it will be because the United States.
Read moreTariffs Are Like a Knife in a Gunfight
Though Donald Trump defends his deployment of tariffs as a radical shake-up of world trade, he is using a dusty playbook. While the president certainly has the legal authority to impose duties, the statutes on which his administration relies are based an economic order that no longer exists.
Read moreGary Cohn Doesn’t Matter
So it happened. After months of speculation about whether and when Gary Cohn might resign, he finally did. The former prince of Goldman Sachs—and the unofficial leader of the free-traders, internationalists and Wall Streeters at the White House
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